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Green October shows the power of buybacks

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Despite a growing chorus of calls for a significant market correction, as is usually the case in October, nothing has been forthcoming during the most dreaded of months. In fact, it has been a story of the opposite, with US markets near all-time highs and massive flow of dividends and buybacks combined with zero term deposit rates forcing money back into the market.

  • After hoarding capital in 2020 as uncertainty placed significant pressure on boards all around the world, October has seen somewhat of a bonanza in capital returns and dividend boosts. Most importantly for retiree and superannuation investors, the franking credit focused off-market buy back is back in vogue.

    Dr Peter Gardner, senior portfolio manager at the specialist dividend-seeking Plato Investment Management group, this week highlighted the shareholder valued delivered by the boards of both the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW).

    According to Plato’s analysis, CBA’s $6 billion buyback and Woolies’ $2 billion buyback resulted in 67.7 million and 58 million shares being cancelled respectively. They were both significant windfalls for those who chose to tender, but particularly retirees in pension phase; with Plato noting that “for pension phase and tax-exempt investors, one dollar of pre-tax income from fully franked dividends is actually worth $1.43.”

    In the case of the CBA buyback, Plato estimates an approximate after-tax profit of $14.27, or 14 per cent for those in pension phase, compared to the market price of CBA. Woolies was even better, with $7.31 or 18 per cent in additional value. In total, $1.94 billion in franking credits were distributed by CBA and $750 million by Woolies.

    “During the August reporting season, our analysis shows approximately $15 billion in franking credits were distributed, in addition to over $38 billion in cash dividends,” said Plato.

    Looking ahead, Plato expect there will be many more tax-effective buyback opportunities moving into 2022.




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